Warriors vs. Nuggets Expert Picks, Predictions & Prop Bets

Things will look a little different when the Warriors and Nuggets meet for the second time this week. Monday’s home win for Denver got a little tight against a bunch of Warriors backups, but Golden State is expected to be all hands on deck tonight against the Nuggets. Nikola Jokic and his Nuggets have won all three meetings this year against the Warriors, and look to close out the series with a sweep. Denver is one of the hotter teams in the NBA right now, winning four straight and nine of their last 10 games. The Nuggets were down Will Barton for a second straight game on Wednesday, as his status is up in the air tonight. Bones Hyland and Jeff Green also missed Wednesday’s action.

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Golden State stopped a five-game skid with a Tuesday night win over the Clippers. Jordan Poole was integral earlier this week in keeping the bench rotation close with Denver and he had another big night against the Clippers with 20 points. Stephen Curry was good enough, Andrew Wiggins returned to two-way form and Klay Thompson added 20 points. Things are not back to where they once were for the Warriors, but it was a necessary first step. Golden State will be without a couple of players tonight in Gary Payton II, Otto Porter and Andre Iguodala.

Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as the status of players can change by the minute. It has everything necessary for NBA betting today. Let’s get into some of the best NBA bets and player props today for the Warriors vs. Nuggets

NBA Player Props & Picks Today | Warriors vs. Nuggets

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets

At your place: Thursday, March 10, 2022
Time: 10 pm ET
Venue:
Ball Arena – Denver, Colo.
Coverage: TNT


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Best Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping

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Denver Nuggets Moneyline: +114 (FanDuel)

The Warriors are on their way back but not quite there, as evident by a bumpy but overall important win against the Clippers. The biggest concerns remain the inconsistent shooting from Curry, which Wiggins shows up, and if Thompson can get enough volume to overcome a bad night from the floor. Denver’s main concerns are reduced to health and who is available next to Jokic. The Nuggets are playing too well right now to ignore getting plus-money at home, especially with a Warriors team that is riding recency bias into this game more than anything else. Denver has won nine of 10 games and is not favored at home against a team that just broke out of a slump. Here is another way to look at the Nuggets being the better play; less chance for Jokic to fail his team than Curry. Jokic is not facing anyone, Kevon Looney or beyond, that is going to take anything away from his game. No Warriors defender will keep him off the glass, or prevent him from passing, or take away his ability to score. The difference in Curry has been too many games of unforced errors and rough shooting that negates any matchup advantage. Tail Jokic in this one for plus money on the return.

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Jordan Poole 4+ Assists: +116 (FanDuel)

OddsShopper is taking full advantage of the recent scoring trend by Poole, countering it with some solid passing opportunities against the Nuggets. Awesemo’s free projection has Poole finishing with 4.9 assists, which is backed by strong OddsShopper data. The 72% chance of Poole going over this prop is a solid projection, but still not as impressive as the 56% xROI on this prop. This is one of the best OddsShopper plays across both NBA games tonight and should be a 2u play.


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Nikola Jokic Under 14.5 Rebounds: -115 (FanDuel)

Jokic has a tall task to dominate the glass all night as he could be needed elsewhere. With the possibility of even more teammates down, Jokic should have a huge night scoring and an easier night facilitating. The guy is a human triple-double so there is no major concern on the glass, it is just hitting 15 rebounds is not easy for anyone. Awesemo’s free projection has Jokic finishing with 13.3 rebounds, so closer to 13 more often in their projections di lui. OddsShopper has a 20% xROI and a 64% chance of the prop staying under its total.

Monte Morris Under 1.5 Made 3’s: +140 (FanDuel)

Morris is expected to hover between one and two makes, but there is a slight edge to him staying under this prop. The return is certainly worth the initial risk at +140 and has an Awesemo projection of 1.6 made 3’s. OddsShopper likes this prop to stay under 52% of the time with their xWin projection, and a 25% xROI on the play. Despite having four straight games of two made 3’s, he is still averaging just 1.6 makes in the five games this month. Morris had a 0-4 night to start March, and has that type of night in his arsenal di lui. He also will not get enough volume to snap out of a cold streak.

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