Suggested $100 spend across four Melbourne Group 1 races

Bookmakers TAB have released their fixed odds markets for a host of Melbourne feature races over the summer and autumn period.

Identifying value in these markets is harder than it used to be – shrinking market percentages being the main reason – but below is our suggested $100 spend across four of the Group 1s.

*Bets in chronological order

BLUE DIAMOND STAKES (FEB 25)

$10 on Barber @ $15

Brilliant debut winner King’s Gambit will take some beating if he gets to the race in good order but $4.50 is certainly short enough for a 2YO this far out from the race. Barber has won his two career starts in narrow but impressive fashion, overcoming a poor start to take out the Golden Gift on November 5. Godolphin won this race last year with Daumier and the switch from Caulfield to Sandown Lakeside could be a positive for Barber.

OAKLEIGH PLATE (FEB 25)

$40 on Asfoora @ $6 and $10 on I Am Me @ $11

Lightly-weighted mares boast a terrific recent record in the Oakleigh Plate and Asfoora and I Am Me both have speed to burn. The former has won three from three over 1100m and will tackle this event fresh, having won her previous two first-up outings by big margins. I Am Me ran the hands off the clock when winning at Randwick last start to make it three out of three this campaign. Both stables have identified this race as a target for their respective mares.

AUSTRALIAN GUINEA (MARCH 4)

$20 on Osipenko @ $11

Golden Mile won the Caulfield Guineas but third-placegetter Osipenko produced the run of the race, storming home from near last to be beaten half-a-length. His only poor showing in four starts came on a heavy track and he looks to have huge scope for improvement. The main query is whether Waller runs him in this race or the Randwick Guineas held on the same day. The son of Pierro gives the impression that he would absolutely relish the expansive Flemington straight.

NEWMARKET HANDICAP (MARCH 11)

$20 on Private Eye @ $11

In Secret is a brilliant filly but $3.50 isn’t an overly appealing price. Trainer Joe Pride has said he wants to tackle this race first-up with Private Eye, so at least you know it’s firmly on the agenda. The veteran galloper was sensational winning the Group 2 Gilgai Stakes in slick time when resuming over this route in last preparation and he’s proven he can carry big weights. He won’t be jumping at double figures.

$100 FUTURES SPEND

$10 on Barber to win the Blue Diamond @ $15

$40 on Asfoora to win the Oakleigh Plate @ $6

$10 on I Am Me to win the Oakleigh Plate @ $15

$20 on Osipenko to win the Australian Guineas @ $11

$20 on Private Eye to win the Newmarket Handicap @ $11

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Back to top button