Nov 20, 2022; Newark, New Jersey, USA; Wagner Seahawks guard DeLonnie Hunt (3) attempts to drive around Seton Hall Pirates guard Al-Amir Dawes (2) in the second half at Prudential Center. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
- The St. Francis Terriers will take on the Wagner Seahawks on Thursday, January 26th
- This will be the first of two meetings in two weeks between St. Francis (NY) and Wagner
- For the St. Francis vs Wagner odds, see below as well as our picks and prediction
You can always expect a close contest when the St. Francis Terriers (9-11, 9-9 ATS) battle it out with the Wagner Seahawks (11-7, 6-9 ATS) in Northeast Conference play. On Thursday, January 26th, these squads duel it out for the first time this year at 5:00 pm ET from the Spiro Sports Center in Staten Island, New York.
Although they are tied for fourth in the conference, Wagner owns the best overall record and point differential among any team in the Northeast Conference. With a lowly 2-8 record when not at home, St. Francis are 9.5-point underdogs for this one.
Check out the St. Francis vs Wagner odds below as we break down this battle and offer up our best bet and prediction to you.
St. Francis (NY) vs Wagner Odds
|St. Francis Terriers||+9.5 (-117)||OFF||O 126 (-117)|
|Wagner Seahawks||-9.5 (-117)||OFF||U 126 (-117)|
Odds as of January 25th at Caesars Sportsbook.
The last eight meetings between these teams have been settled by seven or less points, which makes it a tad surprising that Wagner has been handicapped as almost double digit favorites in this one. As we will detail below, both sides struggle with scoring, putting the over/under total at a paltry 126 points.
St. Francis Terriers Good Bet to Hit Under
Make no bones about it, this Terriers squad has a brutal offense. According to the KenPom rankings, they rank 356th in adjusted offensive efficiency in the nation. That’s out of 363 teams, putting them in the bottom 2% in the entire country.
When your leading scorer is putting up just 11.4 points per game, you know you’re in trouble. Senior Rob Higgins leads the way for the Brooklyn side, but doesn’t get much help as only one other Terriers’ player averages double digits. Adding to the Terriers woes is the fact Higgins has now missed the last five games with injury.
BTW, Moore is on the Red Flash bench wearing a cast that extends from his fingers about 3/4 of the way between his wrist and left elbow.
St. Francis leading scorer Rob Higgins didn’t start for the Terriers, either. He’s missed 3 games.
— Philip Mor (@PCmor7) January 21, 2023
They have hit the under in 13 of 18 games where their odds have been posted. That means you’d be winning 72.2% of your bets if you picked them to go under in the college basketball odds this season.
If you’re trying to find one thing that the Terriers do with relative consistency this year, it’s going under the betting line.
Wagner Winning and Covering Spread
While Wagner is ranked 77 spots higher in the overall KenPom rankings, it’s not like we’re looking at a contender in the odds to win the NCAA tournament here. They may just be the best squad in the Northeast Conference come season’s end though.
🏅 #NECMBB Player of the Week 🏅
👉 Rob Taylor II, @WagnerAthletics
🗒️ Taylor II averaged 18.0 ppg on a blistering 73.7% mark from the field in a sweep that stretched WC’s win streak to 3 games. He added 5.5 rpg. Taylor has now reached double digits in 4 of his last 5 outings. pic.twitter.com/0Aqw1ntKrA
— Northeast Conference (@NECsports) January 24, 2023
The Seahawks have taken three straight contests after losing three in a row. They have also covered the spread in each of their previous three wins delivering double digit victories in the last two.
Unfortunately for Wagner, one thing they do share in common with the Terriers is a porous offense. With an adjusted offensive efficiency of just 96.4, the Seahawks rank 320th among all Division I programs according to KenPom.
Their effective field goal percentage places them 345th and they play at a turtle’s pace with an adjusted tempo of 63.6 that ranks them 336th in the country. Basically, they’re in the bottom 10-15% of teams in the nation in every offensive category.
St. Francis (NY) vs Wagner Pick & Prediction
While all signs point to this game going under the total in the betting line, it is curious to note that the over has hit in each of the last five head-to-head meetings.
St. Francis (NY) vs Wagner Recent Results
|01/30/2022||SFBK 69 – WAG 72||SFBK||Over|
|01/15/2022||WAG 81 – SFBK 76||SFBK||Over|
|02/05/2021||SFBK 81 – WAG 84 (OT)||WAG||Over|
|02/04/2021||SFBK 67 – WAG 74||WAG||Over|
|02/23/2020||SFBK 71 – WAG 75 (OT)||WAG||Over|
Another interesting note from the recent matchups between these two sides, is that the underdog has covered each of the last six times.
However, we think that trend comes to an end on Thursday. Wagner is on a roll and the Terriers not only have to deal with a better side on the road, but they’re also nursing injuries to key players. Our prediction is to take the Seahawks to win big.
Pick: Wagner Seahawks -9.5 (-117)
George has had a lifelong love affair with sports and studying sports statistics since he was a kid. He graduated from Ryerson University with a Bachelor’s Degree in Journalism and has worked in the sports & media industry ever since in various roles from writer to producer.