Fantasy Football Week 3 Quarterback Preview: Tua Tagovailoa can prove he belongs in top 12 this week

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Earlier this week I wrote in this space that I didn’t want to start Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, or Russell Wilson. That hasn’t changed. They’re all in terrible spots against great defenses and learning to adjust without the elite weapons they’ve had in the past. One guy I am starting, albeit with reservations, is Tua Tagovailoa against the Buffalo Bills.

My reservations at this point are pretty heavily influenced by his opponent. The Bills have arguably looked like the best defense in the NFL, and in the past Tagovailoa hasn’t been someone we start against an average defense, much less a great one. But in the past he hasn’t had Mike McDaniel, Tyreek Hill, and Jaylen Waddle on his side.

This early in the season the only way I adjust for an opponent is by what they do to the implied point total of an offense. For example, the Dolphins have an implied total of 23.25 as of Thursday afternoon. Brady’s Buccaneers (21.5), Rodgers’ Packers (20.5), and Wilson’s Broncos (21.75) are all lower.

As we already discussed, Tagovailoa has the clear edge in weaponry and the Vegas lines suggest his team will score more points as well. If he actually pulls it off and posts a top-12 week against this defense, we won’t be doubting him as a Fantasy starter any longer. Just don’t take the opposite to be true. If the Dolphins struggle against Buffalo, we can’t really take much from it. Everyone has so far.

Let’s get to the rest of the preview:

Week 3 QB Preview

QB Preview

Numbers to know

QB Preview

Matchups that matter

QB Preview

Waiver Wire Targets

Adds/Streamers (QB Preview)

One To Stash (QB Preview)

Projections powered by

QB Preview

Heath’s projections

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