Friday’s NBA slate is on the larger side, with nine games to choose from. The Rockets vs. Nuggets game may not be the most competitive, but it does figure to be entertaining. The game owns one of the highest totals on the slate, so there should be plenty of opportunities to put points on the board. Let’s dive into some NBA betting tips tonight and how to find the best NBA picks and parlays for March 4.
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Same Game NBA Picks and Parlays Today: Rockets vs. Nuggets
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.
Bones Hyland Over 8.5 Points
Hyland has blossomed into a quality role player for the Nuggets. He’s averaged just 8.8 points per game this season, but his role di lui has increased as the season has progressed. He’s coming off nearly 22 minutes in his last outing, and he responded with 19 points. Overall, Hyland has scored at least 10 points in six of his past nine games, and one of the exceptions was a game where he played less than a minute.
The Nuggets also have tons of offensive upside in this matchup. The Rockets have been one of the best possible matchups for scoring this season, ranking first in pace and dead last in defensive efficiency. The Nuggets are currently implied for 126.25 points, which represents a massive increase compared to their season average of 110.4.
Bryn Forbes Over 11.5 Points
Forbes is another player I’m comfortable taking the over on in this matchup. He’s one of the best 3-point specialists in the league, and he’s drilled 45.3% of his 3-point attempts since arriving in Denver. He’s drilled at least five 3-pointers in back-to-back games, and the Rockets have been vulnerable against the 3-pointer this season. They’ve allowed the ninth-highest frequency of opponent shots from behind the arc, and they rank 24th in opponent 3-point accuracy.
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Jae’Sean Tate Over 0.5 3-Pointers
Tate is not a particularly good 3-point shooter, making just 30.8% of his attempts through his first two seasons. That said, asking any wing player to make just one seems very reasonable in the modern NBA. This prop is also available at better than even money, making it even more appealing.
Tate has averaged just 0.8 made 3-pointers per game this season, but he has hit the over on 0.5 in more than 50% of his games. That includes each of his past five games, including three 3-pointers in his last outing.
Fellow Awesemo NBA betting expert Sean Blazek has one of his favorite NBA picks today from this Rockets vs. Nuggets game. Check out how Sean is betting this game, and what other NBA bets he’s making tonight.
Kevin Porter Jr. Under 7.5 Assists
This NBA player prop is significantly juiced on the under, but it’s still grading out as the most profitable prop bet in this contest. It owns an expected win rate of 64% and an expected return on investment of + 25% on OddsShopper.
Porter Jr. is coming off 12 assists in his last outing, which has caused his assist prop to become inflated. He’s averaged just 6.2 assists per game this season, and he’s hit the under on 7.5 in 23 of 41 outings. This seems like a great time to sell high.
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